How low can Dogecoin go?

Dogecoin (DOGE) edges lower on Friday, as prices in the broader cryptocurrency market moderate following last week’s rally. The meme coin trades at $0.086, down nearly 14% from August’s peak of $0.100.

Emerging supply caps the immediate upside at $0.087, raising the odds of an extended correction. Still, this could be a healthy pullback, as traders book profits following months of persistent bearish conditions.

Meanwhile, Dogecoin is on course to post the highest monthly returns this year. According to CryptoRank data, the meme coin is up 25% through Friday in August. Should market sentiment hold neutral-to-bullish, Dogecoin is poised to notch its second month of positive returns in 2026.

Dogecoin faces headwinds as derivatives demand cool

Dogecoin derivatives signal declining appetite among retail investors, as perpetual futures Open Interest (OI) fell to roughly 15.7 billion DOGE on Friday, down from nearly 16 billion DOGE the previous day and 17.3 billion DOGE on August 22. If sustained, falling retail interest would suggest fading demand. Losses may gain momentum until robust support is established.

Trading volume has contracted sharply to $1.5 billion from $5.2 billion on August 23. While robust volume previously fueled the rally to $0.100, the pronounced drop now points to waning investor participation.

Technical Analysis: Dogecoin slides as sell-side pressure intensifies

Dogecoin trades at $0.086 amid persistent sell-side pressure. Despite the correction, the meme coin holds above the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.078 and the 100-day EMA at $0.082, hinting at a mildly constructive bias while remaining capped by the 200-day EMA resistance near $0.095.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) around 63 stays below overbought territory, suggesting positive but not excessive momentum, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) remains in positive territory, reinforcing a modest bullish tone as long as price holds over the intermediate EMAs.

The 200-day EMA at $0.095 is the next key barrier. A sustained break above this level would open the way for a more convincing bullish continuation. On the downside, initial support sits at the 100-day EMA around $0.082, followed by the 50-day EMA near $0.078. A daily close below the latter would weaken the current constructive setup and expose a deeper pullback.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool. Know more.)