Indian government bonds: 10-yr yield at more than two-month peak on supply, Warsh speech

Global markets will closely watch Warsh’s first Jackson Hole speech for signals on the US policy outlook ‌and inflation strategy.

Indian government bonds extended losses on Friday, keeping ​the 10-year yield at a more than two-month high, ‌ahead of a hefty sale of the ​benchmark note and Federal Reserve Chair Kevin ⁠Warsh’s key address.

Global markets will closely watch Warsh’s first Jackson Hole speech for signals on the US policy outlook ‌and inflation strategy. Fed officials on Thursday reiterated concerns over sticky inflation.

The Fed chief’s remarks ‌could shape expectations for Indian policy rates, after ‌hawkish ⁠minutes from the Reserve Bank of India’s ⁠August meeting revived bets on domestic rate hikes.

India’s benchmark 6.94 per cent 2036 yield was at 6.9079 per cent at 11:20 am IST, up ​nearly 2 basis points ‌from Thursday’s close and hovering at its intraday highest since June 18. Bond prices move inversely to yields.

New Delhi is selling ₹34,000 crore ($3.56 ‌billion) of the benchmark note, which will raise ​its outstanding to ₹1.8 lakh crore.

A sustained break of the key 6.90 per cent level could ⁠open the way to 6.95 per cent for the benchmark yield, a private-bank trader said. “Cutoff levels at the auction ‌will offer a clearer gauge of demand and set the near-term tone for yields,” the trader said.

Separately, Brent crude futures eased 5 per cent in Asian trade as war mediators placed renewed emphasis on reopening the Strait of Hormuz, offering some relief.

The ‌contract had climbed to $94 per barrel on Thursday, after a ​Wall Street Journal report said US President Donald Trump was not inclined to return to ⁠an interim peace deal reached with Iran in June.

Rates

India’s ⁠overnight indexed swaps were mixed in early trade.

The one-year swap was down 2 bps ‌at 5.90 per cent, while the two-year and the five-year rates were little changed at 6.11 per cent and 6.43 per cent, respectively.

Published on August 28, 2026