GBP/JPY’s rally continued last week and the development is inline with the case that corrective fall from 219.56 has already completed. Initial bias stays on the upside this week for retesting 219.56 high. On the downside, below 216.20 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rally.
In the bigger picture, strong rebound above 55 W EMA (now at 209.15) keeps the up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) intact. Firm break of 209.55 should target 100% projection of 148.93 to 208.09 from 184.35 at 243.51. However, sustained break of 55 W EMA will argue that it’s already in a medium term down trend to 184.35 support.
In the long term picture, up trend from 116.83 (2011 low) is in progress. Next target is 251.09 (2007 high). This will remain the favored case as long as 55 M EMA (now at 189.71) holds.
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