EUR/USD’s rally continues today and the strong break of 1.1621 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2081 to 1.1323 at 1.1613) solidifies the case that fall from 1.2081 has completed as a three wave correction at 1.1323. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 61.8% retracement at 1.1791. On the downside, below 1.1613 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that fall from 1.2081 was a corrective pattern which has completed at 1.1323, after hitting 38.2% retracement of 1.0176 to 1.2081 at 1.1353. Firm break of 1.2081 will resume whole up trend from 1.1716. This will now remain the favored case as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.1520) holds, in case of retreat.


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