TD Cowen’s Washington Strategy team, led by Chris Krueger, notes that a durable rebound in the Dollar hinges on stronger US policy follow-through and renewed upside surprises in US data. The analysts remain broadly bearish on the Dollar for now, highlighting limited upside versus the Canadian Dollar and Chinese Yuan as markets await key US payrolls and inflation releases.

USD outlook tied to data strength

“Durable USD rebound requires stronger policy follow-through & renewed upside in US data.”

“US payrolls likely to post a meaningful rebound in Aug after very disappointing July showing. EUR’s CPI release also top of mind for markets.”

“While US rates digest the updates to the Treasury’s buyback program, the curve remains flatter & term premium has dipped. US markets will focus on payrolls next week, w/ a stronger print likely to cause a sharper reaction than a subdued employment report.”

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor. Know more.)


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Shin John
Shin JohnYtv Market News
Share-market news writer and analyst with deep experience covering equities, commodities, forex, and cryptocurrencies for readers in the USA, UK, Canada, and Australia. Ytv Market News delivers timely market updates, practical trading insights, and clear explanations of macro and company-level catalysts that move prices. Combines on-the-ground financial reporting with technical analysis, using concise charts and actionable ideas to help investors and traders make smarter decisions.