HomeToGo SE (ETR:HTG) Interim Results: Here’s What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year

The half-yearly results for HomeToGo SE (ETR:HTG) were released last week, making it a good time to revisit its performance. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

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Following the latest results, HomeToGo’s four analysts are now forecasting revenues of €401.4m in 2026. This would be a sizeable 25% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. The loss per share is expected to greatly reduce in the near future, narrowing 73% to €0.17. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of €402.8m and losses of €0.14 per share in 2026. So it’s pretty clear the analysts have mixed opinions on HomeToGo even after this update; although they reconfirmed their revenue numbers, it came at the cost of a massive increase in per-share losses.

Check out our latest analysis for HomeToGo

The consensus price target held steady at €2.63, seemingly implying that the higher forecast losses are not expected to have a long term impact on the company’s valuation. There’s another way to think about price targets though, and that’s to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. There are some variant perceptions on HomeToGo, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at €3.20 and the most bearish at €2.30 per share. There are definitely some different views on the stock, but the range of estimates is not wide enough as to imply that the situation is unforecastable, in our view.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. It’s clear from the latest estimates that HomeToGo’s rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 55% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2026 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 23% p.a. over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 8.0% per year. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it’s pretty clear that HomeToGo is expected to grow much faster than its industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts increased their loss per share estimates for next year. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

With that in mind, we wouldn’t be too quick to come to a conclusion on HomeToGo. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year’s profits. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for HomeToGo going out to 2028, and you can see them free on our platform here..

Another thing to consider is whether management and directors have been buying or selling stock recently. We provide an overview of all open market stock trades for the last twelve months on our platform, here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.